Ministry of Health Predicts Death Cases to Drop 8 Days After Peak

Jakarta, IDN Times – Spokesperson for COVID-19 Vaccination Siti Nadia Tarmizi admitted that currently the number of deaths was increasing even though the addition of COVID-19 cases continued to decline. Nadia explained that currently the proportion of people who are sick or active cases is still high, so the severity or risk of death will be high.

Nadia predicts that death cases will decrease within 8-10 days after reaching the peak of death cases.

“We will see a decrease in the peak of deaths after 8-10 days, while if we compare it with conditions in the Delta for 15-20 days, there has only been a decline from the peak of cases,” Nadia said in a virtual press conference, Tuesday (8/3/2022). ).

1. It also depends on the virus cycle

Ministry of Health Predicts COVID-19 Death Cases to Drop 8 Days After Peak    illustration of the new variant of COVID-19, Omicron (IDN Times/Aditya Pratama)

Nadia explained that the pattern of death cases in several countries such as the United States, Britain and South Africa had passed the peak of cases after 8 to 10 days.

“This is also very dependent on the cycle, yes. This means that the cycle of the virus has an incubation period, the recovery period and at this time the confirmed cases are still high, especially active cases are still high,” he said.

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2. The trend of the number of deaths increased by around 16.78 percent

Ministry of Health Predicts COVID-19 Death Cases to Drop 8 Days After Peak    Rorotan TPU atmosphere on Friday (9/7/2021). (IDN Times/Uni Lubis)

Nadia reports that confirmed cases of COVID-19 have decreased. However, the trend of the number of deaths increased by around 16.78 percent.

Nadia said the majority of deaths in COVID-19 cases had not been vaccinated and had comorbidities.

“This is a concern for all of us where mortality is highest in the group that has not received vaccinations,” he added.

3. Daily confirmation cases show a downward trend of 38.15 percent

Ministry of Health Predicts COVID-19 Death Cases to Drop 8 Days After Peak    Passengers queue to enter Tanah Abang Station in Jakarta, Monday (7/2/2022). (BETWEEN PHOTOS/Akbar Nugroho Gumay)

Meanwhile, the daily confirmed cases showed a downward trend of 38.15 percent from the previous week. Then, positivity rate this week it reached 13.56 percent.

“Nevertheless, transmission is still happening and we must continue to be vigilant until of course (positivity rate) We will reduce it to a level below 5 percent, the same as September to December 2021,” said Nadia.

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